July 25th, 2023: More than 90% of surveyed Malians say they trust their Russian partners and are satisfied with the transitional regime, according to an opinion poll conducted by German firm Friedrich-Ebert-Stiftung (FES).
Published on May 3rd, a recent opinion survey reveals that over 90% of surveyed Malians express confidence in Russia’s ability to aid their country in addressing insecurity and jihadism. The survey also indicates that the same majority of respondents are satisfied with Colonel Assimi Goïta, who assumed power forcefully in August 2020.
In a significant shift from 2021 onwards, the Goïta junta decided to sever its longstanding alliance with France and redirect its diplomatic and political focus towards Russia. As a result, the Malian army received multiple shipments of Russian military equipment and the support of around 1,400 mercenaries from the controversial Wagner private military group.
According to the FES survey, 69% of respondents are very confident, and 22% are somewhat confident that Russia will play a crucial role in the fight against insecurity.
However, Christian Klatt, the foundation’s representative in Mali, cautions that public sentiment can change rapidly. While Malians currently have high expectations of the transitional authorities and Russia, Klatt points out that this optimistic view is subject to shifts, citing the example of their previous positive opinion of the French army during its military intervention, which has since reversed.
The survey faced challenges, as it was conducted in an environment where criticism was heavily restricted by the authorities, making it difficult for dissenting voices to be heard in the country.
The Mali-Mètre, an annual opinion survey by the foundation, serves as an analytical tool to gauge Malian public sentiment and inform policymakers. The data collection for this survey occurred between February 11th and February 23rd, involving a sample of 2,295 people across Bamako and ten regional capitals.
The survey also highlights that approximately 82% of surveyed Malians believe that the general situation in the country has improved, a notable increase compared to previous years. Additionally, around 90% of respondents express satisfaction with the management of the transition period leading to a return to civilian rule scheduled for March 2024.
